0x2e5929288fCB5d26fBeE8d306c69D6D40Fa7d754-1773987660950
0x2e5929288fcb5d26fbee8d306c69d6d40fa7d754
- Realised P&L
- $65.16
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $12.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.020 | $7.76 | −$12.24 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.043 | $2.47 | −$2.53 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.045 | $2.11 | −$2.89 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.16at 0.038LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
- +$33.42at 0.130Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
- +$6.14at 0.140Pacers vs. Magic
- +$3.76at 0.210Counter-Strike: The QUBE Esports vs Morningstar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffs
- +$2.33at 0.300LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 18:03 | Islanders vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 03-31 05:06 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.3039998516 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 13:09 | St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $0.99 |
| 03-27 09:08 | LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1 | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 16:45 | Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 11:33 | Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | BUY | 0.25 | $0.99 |
| 03-26 05:27 | Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 05:27 | Will Trump say "No No No" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.0058770521 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 05:27 | Will Trump say "SNAP" or "Food Stamp" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 05:27 | Will Trump say "Mental Institution" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.0050219011 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 05:27 | Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 05:27 | Will Trump say "Filibuster" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | BUY | 0.0160238128 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 18:31 | Lakers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 12:28 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2219998521 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 17:43 | Raptors vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |