PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2e5929288fCB5d26fBeE8d306c69D6D40Fa7d754-1773987660950

0x2e5929288fcb5d26fbee8d306c69d6d40fa7d754

Realised P&L
$82.82
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$4.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0510.005$1.94−$18.06
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0860.028$1.60−$3.40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1080.018$0.81−$4.19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 18:03Islanders vs. SabresBUY0.3599998704$1.00
03-31 05:06Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.3039998516$1.00
03-27 13:09St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue DevilsBUY0.2899998666$0.99
03-27 09:08LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1BUY0.29999982$1.00
03-26 16:45Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26?BUY0.059999946$1.00
03-26 11:33Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue BoilermakersBUY0.25$0.99
03-26 05:27Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
03-26 05:27Will Trump say "No No No" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?BUY0.0058770521$1.00
03-26 05:27Will Trump say "SNAP" or "Food Stamp" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?BUY0.007$1.00
03-26 05:27Will Trump say "Mental Institution" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?BUY0.0050219011$1.00
03-26 05:27Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?BUY0.001$1.00
03-26 05:27Will Trump say "Filibuster" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?BUY0.0160238128$1.00
03-25 18:31Lakers vs. PacersBUY0.1899998784$1.00
03-24 12:28Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?BUY0.2219998521$1.00
03-23 17:43Raptors vs. JazzBUY0.1399998824$1.00