PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

iterintellectus

0x2e557b72fd728c9ee7adc49f6bc27e0a900707ac

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$162.3k
Markets traded
164
Open portfolio
$109.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded164
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1010.015$71.48$428.52
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1350.026$38.45$161.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Down0.2850.000$0.00$39.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00$36.72
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No0.1900.000$0.00$47.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00$4.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$4.59
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Down0.3540.000$0.00$42.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$4.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Up0.3010.000$0.00$143.47
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · No0.4720.000$0.00$111.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Down0.1380.000$0.00$4.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00$3.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$26.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 15:53Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1352312433$200.00
09-03 15:36Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1014237733$500.00
06-12 14:03SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.8$200.00
06-12 14:02Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?BUY0.7711586659$300.00
06-11 21:19Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?SELL0.997$489.39
06-11 21:19Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.5035992528$200.00
04-27 17:26Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?SELL0.0072829757$18.76
04-27 17:26Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?SELL0.0035430754$14.03
04-27 16:43Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?BUY0.0252566773$100.00
04-27 16:43Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?BUY0.0388131676$100.00
04-23 17:25Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?SELL0.9055062762$400.37
04-23 15:39Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?BUY0.92$405.48
04-23 15:25Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?SELL0.9149446989$409.48
04-23 11:10Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?BUY0.8899999998$396.56
04-22 17:25Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.2604765842$400.07