0x2dfdd4518569ec169d7b9430f4370be2df35937f
- Realised P&L
- $123.29
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $479.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.155 | 1.000 | $322.58 | +$272.58 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.366 | 0.512 | $70.01 | +$20.01 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.160 | $64.33 | −$33.67 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.208 | $22.37 | −$15.63 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-24 22:07 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.2099999968 | $50.00 |
| 03-24 05:07 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.3542443796 | $38.00 |
| 03-24 05:06 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2761220441 | $20.00 |
| 03-24 05:05 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3659999977 | $50.00 |
| 03-24 05:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1549999975 | $50.00 |
| 03-24 05:02 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2429999974 | $50.00 |
| 03-24 04:57 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2429999964 | $48.00 |
| 03-24 04:47 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |