PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2dfdd4518569ec169d7b9430f4370be2df35937f

Realised P&L
$123.29
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$479.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1551.000$322.58+$272.58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3660.512$70.01+$20.01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2430.160$64.33$33.67
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.3540.208$22.37$15.63
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$100.00
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yes0.2760.000$0.00$20.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-24 22:07US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.2099999968$50.00
03-24 05:07Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.3542443796$38.00
03-24 05:06Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?BUY0.2761220441$20.00
03-24 05:05Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3659999977$50.00
03-24 05:03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1549999975$50.00
03-24 05:02Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2429999974$50.00
03-24 04:57Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2429999964$48.00
03-24 04:47US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.1299999979$50.00