SomerandomD
0x2db956198a79903855da6b785ecf4b13e45133f1
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $169.2k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $38.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$434.20at 0.612Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$399.61at 0.948Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$236.98at 0.328Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$210.47at 0.980Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- +$210.20at 0.908NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:28 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.403 | $40.30 |
| 11-01 22:21 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $99.10 |
| 11-01 15:57 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.969 | $96.90 |
| 11-01 15:56 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $963.00 |
| 11-01 15:53 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $485.50 |
| 11-01 15:52 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $2.9k |
| 11-01 09:23 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $24.19 |
| 11-01 07:24 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 11-01 07:23 | Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $44.97 |
| 11-01 07:23 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 11-01 07:23 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 11-01 07:22 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.964 | $96.40 |
| 11-01 07:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.96 | $576.00 |
| 11-01 07:21 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $38.60 |
| 11-01 07:20 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |