PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6aFEf3888Cb4b4383a01de75541f41a7077A5B50-1775680812319

0x2d993073f91d2dbba37ff8c4899ff2dfa5953bd4

Realised P&L
$-12.91
Volume
$165.55
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$6.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6601.000$1.52+$0.52
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6701.000$1.49+$0.49
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.9201.000$1.09+$0.09
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat? · Yes0.9500.989$1.04+$0.04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6600.645$0.98−$0.02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4950.435$0.88−$0.12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 17:08Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?SELL0.01$0.05
08-28 17:07Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?SELL0.997$1.02
08-28 17:06Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?SELL0.017$0.03
08-28 17:05Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026?SELL0.002$0.01
08-02 16:33Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
08-02 16:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5$1.00
08-02 16:28Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.9779998494$1.00
08-02 16:27Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.66$1.00
08-02 16:27Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.494999755$1.00
08-02 16:08Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
08-02 15:57Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026?BUY0.1889998571$1.00
08-02 05:19Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.919999448$1.00
08-02 05:17Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-02 04:42Will the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat?BUY0.949999525$1.00
08-02 04:35Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6699999196$1.00