PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

selters

0x2d84c85f506f8e5e7652a442653e5eaaa82472da

Realised P&L
$918.01
Volume
$40.8k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.7420.875$847.95+$128.95
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8690.961$630.05+$60.05
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? · No0.9270.958$177.56+$5.55
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%? · Under0.9300.949$142.86+$2.86
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · No0.8640.820$94.94$5.06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · No0.4600.435$47.28$2.72
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2780.245$29.93$3.98
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.955$10.27+$0.27
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.935$9.95$0.05
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2800.210$0.60$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:30Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.2660101506$32.50
09-15 21:52Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999974$27.83
09-15 21:48Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?SELL0.937$28.28
09-15 07:19Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$40.00
09-12 18:45Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.79$40.00
09-12 18:04Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999887$10.00
09-12 13:43Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7899999978$40.00
09-12 13:23Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.8199999967$100.00
09-12 13:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.4599999965$50.00
09-12 13:22Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?BUY0.8636776918$100.00
09-12 13:20Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?BUY0.9299999997$140.00
09-09 07:12Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.8661554864$189.29
09-07 22:40Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?SELL0.88$51.25
09-06 19:57Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?SELL0.99$103.12
09-04 13:21Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?BUY0.4799999981$50.00