PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TomDebs

0x2d631265909bdd234bc9d63b6f487b567e16aa21

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$75.5k
Markets traded
548
Open portfolio
$256.61

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded548
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0380.021$56.03−$46.94
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1540.163$52.87+$2.87
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0690.021$30.63−$72.21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1080.099$27.36−$2.64
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.175$20.32−$15.68
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0160.013$16.25−$3.75
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0220.024$16.02+$1.02
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? · Yes0.3900.170$13.08−$16.92
Will Marseille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.1960.165$8.40−$1.60
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0900.037$7.08−$9.92
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4300.085$6.92−$28.08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.017$1.65−$8.35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$15.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00−$118.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:25Chiefs vs. BroncosBUY0.4599999923$25.00
11-01 22:19Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.022$15.00
11-01 22:18Will Marseille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.196473945$10.00
11-01 22:16Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.016$20.00
11-01 22:16Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1536926145$50.00
07-01 18:54Cary: William Manning vs Michael MmohBUY0.1699999903$14.00
07-01 18:54Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard StruffBUY0.4399999965$25.00
07-01 18:53Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5BUY0.15$15.00
07-01 18:52Cary: Liam Broady vs Jack KennedyBUY0.3450959976$19.00
07-01 18:52Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Dino PrizmicBUY0.0791749965$5.00
07-01 18:52Minnesota Twins vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.4299999967$25.00
07-01 18:51Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaBUY0.3099999917$19.00
07-01 18:51Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5BUY0.2299999925$19.00
06-22 14:21Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen MilicBUY0.0889999889$7.00
06-22 14:21Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?BUY0.2399999918$20.00