R-77
0x2d62575f0f91f0c031b9168f865dd43ae37f0a41
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $168.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,397
- Open portfolio
- $826.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,397
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$323.33at 0.519Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 6?
- +$130.88at 0.380 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$113.79at 0.067Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
- +$72.41at 0.580Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
- +$70.58at 0.0490 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:57 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $47.88 |
| 09-17 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.9603022 | $48.02 |
| 09-17 18:55 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $70.68 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $235.60 |
| 09-17 18:44 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.43 | $12.90 |
| 09-17 17:01 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $100.32 |
| 09-17 16:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 09-17 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $138.60 |
| 09-17 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.976 | $48.80 |
| 09-17 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.987 | $75.92 |
| 09-17 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $24.01 |
| 09-17 10:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.70 |
| 09-17 10:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.70 |
| 09-17 10:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.71 |