PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

R-77

0x2d62575f0f91f0c031b9168f865dd43ae37f0a41

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$265.6k
Markets traded
1,654
Open portfolio
$78.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,654
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Al Ain FC vs. Ajman Club: Ajman Club 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under0.9600.505$50.50−$45.50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 3? · No0.7100.700$7.70−$0.11
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0850.033$6.60−$10.48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0740.036$3.53−$3.62
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027? · Yes0.0800.060$3.31−$1.10
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0570.025$2.43−$3.07
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.1380.018$1.80−$11.98
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · Yes0.0850.017$1.65−$6.89
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0090.004$1.05−$1.65
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0390.002$0.27−$6.75
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1210.001$0.05−$12.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27? · No0.3490.000$0.00−$20.32
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17? · No0.6190.000$0.00−$26.82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$5.50
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 16? · No0.4120.000$0.00−$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 17:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 3?BUY0.71$7.81
11-02 14:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 2?SELL0.999$7.99
11-02 07:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 2?BUY0.908$7.26
11-02 06:57Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2?SELL0.999$6.99
11-01 14:33Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.82$5.74
11-01 14:32Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.006$6.00
10-31 10:57Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?BUY0.5478859882$53.73
10-31 10:56Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?BUY0.5126074361$235.34
10-30 09:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?BUY0.6287582278$49.67
10-30 09:42Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?BUY0.61$48.80
10-30 09:36Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?BUY0.5823076923$75.70
10-30 09:35Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0180106644$76.00
10-30 09:34Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?BUY0.5676552094$74.15
10-30 09:33Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?BUY0.5$152.00
10-30 09:32Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0212559764$79.14