R-77
0x2d62575f0f91f0c031b9168f865dd43ae37f0a41
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $265.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,654
- Open portfolio
- $78.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,654
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$323.33at 0.519Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 6?
- +$200.53at 0.762Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$192.97at 0.419Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?
- +$130.88at 0.380 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$130.71at 0.563Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.81 |
| 11-02 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 11-02 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.908 | $7.26 |
| 11-02 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 11-01 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.82 | $5.74 |
| 11-01 14:32 | Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 10-31 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5478859882 | $53.73 |
| 10-31 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5126074361 | $235.34 |
| 10-30 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.6287582278 | $49.67 |
| 10-30 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $48.80 |
| 10-30 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.5823076923 | $75.70 |
| 10-30 09:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0180106644 | $76.00 |
| 10-30 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.5676552094 | $74.15 |
| 10-30 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $152.00 |
| 10-30 09:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0212559764 | $79.14 |