PolyBot

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Traders

wzqs

0x2d2b732a3dba4b7f790d8b08666e5707bff7b548

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$44.0k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.8380.921$1.9k+$174.55
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8600.885$442.50+$12.50
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.945$378.00+$30.00
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9150.935$320.17+$6.95
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9460.977$195.39+$6.20
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.8550.969$193.70+$22.70
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.6300.805$147.31+$32.03
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Yes0.8320.893$89.35+$6.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8040.175$87.50$314.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 11:22China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.77$77.00
07-19 09:31Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.86$430.00
07-19 09:26China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.91470502$313.22
07-17 02:27Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.86$32.15
07-16 22:27Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.659$65.90
07-15 12:48Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.71425$142.85
07-13 22:54Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.749$149.80
07-05 12:51Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?BUY0.9$180.00
07-05 06:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.74$148.00
07-01 12:33Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$348.00
06-30 05:12Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.662$47.44
06-29 13:52Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.63$115.29
06-29 06:56Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.81595$81.59
06-29 06:56Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.794$4.09
06-28 12:12Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?BUY0.892$89.20