PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kezgod

0x2cfd02c4ebee1d449dd5a7f856f2a4fce39b01ff

Realised P&L
$938.57
Volume
$44.7k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9000.905$1.5k+$8.33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.5580.585$1.0k+$48.67
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? · No0.9780.939$959.43−$40.57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3300.315$47.73−$2.27
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5550.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.5740.000$0.00−$120.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5990.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$100.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00−$300.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4120.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$50.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15? · No0.2080.000$0.00−$350.00
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6690.000$0.00−$600.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 21:46Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5578489345$1000.00
10-05 12:32Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9$1.5k
10-05 12:29Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?BUY0.9781894398$1000.00
10-01 10:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3299999989$50.00
09-30 22:03Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.704002016$1.2k
09-18 15:22Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.12$200.00
09-03 20:55Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1709999988$100.00
09-03 20:52Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1840223634$100.00
09-03 20:51Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1539615954$100.00
07-19 21:08Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4124999959$50.00
07-19 20:55Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersSELL0.999$69.37
07-19 20:37Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.6649999999$400.00
07-19 19:39Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.564999999$100.00
07-19 18:53Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.08$10.00
07-19 18:53Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersBUY0.7199999965$50.00