PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fx3z

0x2ca98e9840258e97c34c01642e8e3b557cc240c5

Realised P&L
$-136.62
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$25.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2900.125$10.34$13.66
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2600.165$9.52$5.48
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$1.89$0.11
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1700.045$1.59$4.41
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0780.040$1.01$0.99
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0350.001$0.28$19.72
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$33.94
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00$15.00
NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance · NK Celje0.5000.000$0.00$30.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2040.000$0.00$20.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3420.000$0.00$20.00
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$10.00
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians0.5200.000$0.00$26.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 19:08NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$30.00
08-18 19:15China x Philippines military clash before 2027?SELL0.32$3.31
08-18 19:15Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0211765434$42.80
08-05 20:03New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.52$26.00
08-05 02:54Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.043$26.42
08-03 20:56China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.2899999478$3.00
08-03 20:55Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0354813946$20.00
08-03 20:54Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?SELL0.25$22.73
08-02 19:55Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.077999966$2.00
07-30 17:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2599999903$15.00
07-30 16:37Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.056$9.82
07-30 16:37Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?SELL0.14$6.69
07-30 15:21Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?SELL0.004$0.14
07-30 15:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.032$0.98
07-30 15:21Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.003$2.40