fx3z
0x2ca98e9840258e97c34c01642e8e3b557cc240c5
- Realised P&L
- $-136.62
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $25.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.28at 0.437Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$34.16at 0.058Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.79at 0.247Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
- +$24.70at 0.170Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$18.47at 0.090US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 19:08 | NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 08-18 19:15 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.31 |
| 08-18 19:15 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0211765434 | $42.80 |
| 08-05 20:03 | New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-05 02:54 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.043 | $26.42 |
| 08-03 20:56 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 20:55 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0354813946 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 20:54 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.25 | $22.73 |
| 08-02 19:55 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.077999966 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 17:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999903 | $15.00 |
| 07-30 16:37 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.056 | $9.82 |
| 07-30 16:37 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $6.69 |
| 07-30 15:21 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.14 |
| 07-30 15:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.98 |
| 07-30 15:21 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.40 |