PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ultraplayz

0x2c3b844c6b01cbc62001ba13a6a2572c7de73ad8

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$56.5k
Markets traded
178
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded178
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat? · No0.9100.975$140.40+$9.36
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9420.968$107.45+$2.94
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9720.992$99.15+$1.95
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9530.991$99.05+$3.75
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9590.983$98.30+$2.40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.983$98.30+$8.30
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.983$98.25+$3.25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8900.982$98.15+$9.15
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9200.978$97.80+$5.80
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9300.978$97.75+$4.75
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9200.977$97.65+$5.65
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9200.972$97.15+$5.15
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.8700.970$96.95+$9.95
Obama divorce before 2027? · No0.9500.969$96.85+$1.85
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.966$96.55+$12.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-18 02:33Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?BUY0.733905$71.83
04-18 02:33Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?BUY0.92$92.00
04-18 02:33Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?BUY0.84$84.00
04-18 02:32Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.37$37.00
04-18 02:32Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$69.00
04-18 02:32Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?BUY0.790535$79.05
04-18 02:31Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.91$91.00
04-18 02:31Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$95.00
04-18 02:30Kash Patel out by April 30?BUY0.5498706167$22.74
04-18 02:29Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.731552382$68.64
04-18 02:27Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?BUY0.32706$32.71
04-18 02:26Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by April 30, 2026?BUY0.41$39.06
04-18 02:25Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?BUY0.965$96.23
04-18 02:25Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by April 30, 2026?BUY0.97402$97.20
04-18 02:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?BUY0.7792$76.54