Ilove2qq
0x2c1920825d27c31d07232ba5036af9f0d6cce131
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $178.5k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $963.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.154 | $662.87 | −$837.13 |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · Yes | 0.817 | 0.506 | $154.80 | −$95.20 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.552 | 0.115 | $145.71 | −$554.29 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.30 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.423Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$2.8kat 0.610Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.247US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$2.0kat 0.536Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
- +$1.3kat 0.138Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999981 | $97.30 |
| 07-28 01:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5524805035 | $700.00 |
| 07-28 01:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $733.33 |
| 07-22 06:03 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4923827626 | $1.1k |
| 07-22 05:49 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.151249173 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 13:21 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999998 | $500.00 |
| 07-08 13:21 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.041941906 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 13:21 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0262318927 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 13:19 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14? | BUY | 0.0470235481 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 13:19 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7? | BUY | 0.0624512354 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 13:17 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.2367952133 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 13:53 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1939208979 | $500.00 |
| 07-05 10:57 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 16:45 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.139275766 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 16:45 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0555993369 | $100.00 |