PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

M31B

0x2beffb3695e21344fed8a418698f0066c87ec50c

Realised P&L
$-272.25
Volume
$16.0k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$542.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? · No0.6800.655$65.50−$2.50
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · No0.5080.519$51.90+$1.05
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.645$32.25+$1.75
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.785$30.51+$0.58
Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? · No0.8350.725$29.00−$4.40
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.6250.610$24.40−$0.60
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · No0.4600.480$24.00+$1.00
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? · Yes0.5690.470$23.50−$4.95
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5500.665$22.60+$3.91
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? · No0.4900.445$22.25−$2.25
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8300.915$18.30+$1.70
Will “Somewhere Over Laredo” by Lainey Wilson win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · No0.8400.845$16.90+$0.10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3610.353$14.14−$0.30
Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? · No0.8200.840$14.01+$0.33
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.6600.695$13.90+$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 17:49Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?SELL0.06$9.00
09-25 09:18Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?SELL0.5$25.47
09-24 06:26Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.41$0.42
09-24 06:26Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.2010514338$4.42
09-24 06:25Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?SELL0.33$7.72
09-24 06:25No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.49$9.80
09-24 06:25Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.3$12.16
09-24 06:25Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.1826666667$10.96
09-24 06:24Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?SELL0.65$13.00
09-24 06:24Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.7625$15.25
09-24 06:24No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.4766666667$28.60
09-24 06:24Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.6872302391$31.91
09-24 06:23Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.76$45.60
09-17 13:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.79$19.75
09-17 13:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.73$18.25