carlopolo
0x2bcc7d18deb333b6b5ae583f7b129a6a678313d6
- Realised P&L
- $29.25
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $217.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:12 | Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0754365859 | $3.46 |
| 10-13 12:11 | Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.134 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 13:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $6.74 |
| 09-16 00:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $15.00 |
| 09-04 07:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.57 | $14.25 |
| 09-01 16:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.59 | $15.00 |
| 04-11 13:31 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.57 |
| 04-11 12:46 | Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.27 |
| 04-10 22:01 | Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.521 | $17.42 |
| 04-10 21:58 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.201 | $4.51 |
| 04-10 21:58 | Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.42 | $11.26 |
| 04-10 21:58 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.42 | $15.21 |
| 04-10 21:58 | Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.482 | $12.63 |