PolyBot

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Traders

carlopolo

0x2bcc7d18deb333b6b5ae583f7b129a6a678313d6

Realised P&L
$29.25
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$217.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.4821.000$51.95+$26.91
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? · Yes0.4201.000$26.81+$15.55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5901.000$25.42+$10.42
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes0.1301.000$25.15+$21.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? · Yes0.5701.000$25.00+$10.75
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.0760.082$16.18+$1.21
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.0770.075$14.61−$0.39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3800.360$14.21−$0.79
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.1340.119$13.32−$1.68
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.004$5.25−$9.74
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00−$4.51
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$15.21
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.5210.000$0.00−$17.42
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$3.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$15.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 17:12Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.0754365859$3.46
10-13 12:11Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.134$15.00
09-16 13:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$6.74
09-16 00:28Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.38$15.00
09-04 07:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.57$14.25
09-01 16:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.59$15.00
04-11 13:31Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.29$3.57
04-11 12:46Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY0.13$3.27
04-10 22:01Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.521$17.42
04-10 21:58Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.201$4.51
04-10 21:58Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?BUY0.42$11.26
04-10 21:58Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.42$15.21
04-10 21:58Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.482$12.63