PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2Ba25c68932c17E47248a4a61790c6161466183D-1762506393020

0x2ba25c68932c17e47248a4a61790c6161466183d

Realised P&L
$0.48
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$9.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.160$2.35$2.65
Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes0.0470.015$1.45$3.23
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0860.043$1.27$1.30
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2600.115$1.15$1.45
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1450.055$1.10$1.80
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · Yes0.1500.070$0.70$0.80
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · Yes0.2200.069$0.69$1.51
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0530.021$0.43$0.63
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1100.043$0.42$0.68
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1000.029$0.29$0.71
Venezuela Parlay · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.60
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$1.74
Will Lando Norris be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.40
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15? · No0.1400.000$0.00$1.40
Will Trump talk to Salvador Nasralla in December? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$3.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 12:38Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.064$1.28
06-30 12:36Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.112$1.12
06-23 15:32Will Starmer officially leave office by June 30?BUY0.016$0.40
05-26 08:24Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999633$5.00
03-18 14:14Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-18 09:44Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.26$2.60
02-10 08:58Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?BUY0.63$3.15
02-04 09:29Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.18$1.80
02-02 11:28Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?BUY0.09$1.08
02-02 11:25Another US bank failure by February 28?BUY0.13$1.30
02-02 11:24Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? BUY0.11$1.10
01-30 23:17Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.046$3.68
01-21 08:19Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.11$1.10
01-21 08:19Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?BUY0.262$2.62
01-20 10:56Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.11$1.10