PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KavenSky

0x2af1d468ea0549c331c0befacc1eda614a80b530

Realised P&L
$3.50
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$53.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8000.825$33.00+$1.00
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6700.425$8.50−$4.90
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.7440.548$3.68−$1.32
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.1250.090$3.62−$1.39
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? · No0.1270.110$3.30−$0.50
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6200.270$1.35−$1.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:31Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?BUY0.13$2.60
10-31 00:07LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.57$8.55
10-29 06:24Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.9399999624$1.00
10-29 05:29Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.99$2.00
10-29 05:28Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.97$1.00
10-29 05:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY0.97$1.00
10-29 05:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY0.92$1.00
10-29 05:19Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-29 05:18Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-29 05:18Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-29 02:53Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSELL0.01$0.06
10-29 02:52Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.16$1.00
10-29 02:52Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSELL0.23$0.92
10-29 02:52Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.8299999613$3.00
10-29 02:51Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.8699999652$3.00