KavenSky
0x2af1d468ea0549c331c0befacc1eda614a80b530
- Realised P&L
- $3.50
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $53.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.825 | $33.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.425 | $8.50 | −$4.90 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · No | 0.744 | 0.548 | $3.68 | −$1.32 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.090 | $3.62 | −$1.39 |
| Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? · No | 0.127 | 0.110 | $3.30 | −$0.50 |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.270 | $1.35 | −$1.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.15at 0.457Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
- +$6.27at 0.582LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
- +$5.08at 0.609Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner
- +$3.22at 0.511Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner
- +$2.93at 0.887Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:31 | Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 10-31 00:07 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.57 | $8.55 |
| 10-29 06:24 | Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 05:29 | Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 05:28 | Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 05:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 05:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 05:19 | Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 05:18 | Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 05:18 | Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 10-29 02:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $0.92 |
| 10-29 02:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 02:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |