goodnamer
0x2ae98b0b4c63041f22810598fbb41ca3da1caa1a
- Realised P&L
- $13.74
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $331.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.954 | 0.972 | $61.14 | +$1.13 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.965 | $59.63 | +$0.90 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 · No | 0.966 | 0.983 | $59.60 | +$1.00 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $58.41 | +$0.31 |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No | 0.976 | 0.950 | $47.02 | −$1.31 |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.977 | 0.925 | $45.98 | −$2.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.85at 0.946Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
- +$2.19at 0.950Iran leadership change by August 31?
- +$1.26at 0.981Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.976Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 20?
- +$0.76at 0.921Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 08:45 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9699999896 | $19.61 |