PolyBot

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Traders

Casadepapel

0x2ae2fbb5e31dfa10502746041c2610b3414d8b8f

Realised P&L
$-50.33
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$12.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.2490.165$5.96$3.04
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2310.165$2.32$0.93
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1570.065$1.76$2.49
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.075$1.01$0.74
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0860.032$0.51$0.89
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.2100.055$0.33$0.94
Obama federally charged before 2027? · Yes0.1830.050$0.32$0.88
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0500.008$0.26$1.34
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0120.003$0.25$0.95
Will Partido Popular win 34-36 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$4.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$2.05
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
US strike on Colombia by March 31? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$1.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 10:14Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999398$1.75
07-21 10:09Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.05$1.60
07-21 10:07Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.012$1.20
07-20 00:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$6.44
06-09 21:33Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2299999062$1.52
06-07 13:06Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?BUY0.0374736842$2.67
06-01 07:11Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?BUY0.129999941$1.85
05-27 12:44Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?BUY0.179999928$2.00
05-22 22:01US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999305$2.02
05-21 08:41Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?BUY0.1299999313$1.59
05-19 07:48Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?BUY0.209999871$1.27
05-19 07:47Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?SELL0.979$2.00
04-28 20:24Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
04-10 21:08Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1449999256$1.50
04-10 20:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1549998907$1.00