PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rizaSZN

0x2a967777e922f4606dca4ce18d9a53845871b382

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$123.0k
Markets traded
2,174
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,174
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes0.7900.905$181.00+$23.00
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.7400.695$125.10$8.10
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · No0.6200.997$78.72+$29.74
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · No0.6200.630$61.74+$0.98
Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes? · No0.8401.000$53.97+$8.61
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8790.780$53.07$6.70
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.6100.610$51.24+$0.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5500.445$46.28$10.92
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.5900.345$44.85$31.85
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.8840.953$43.81+$3.15
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Dambulla Sixers · Dambulla Sixers0.5100.500$42.50$0.85
Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes? · No0.8000.775$38.75$1.25
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.2701.000$38.00+$27.74
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? · No0.8480.973$36.97+$4.74
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? · Yes0.8800.962$36.56+$3.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.09$6.84
09-15 19:32Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?SELL0.106$4.24
09-15 19:32Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?SELL0.278064$13.90
09-15 19:32Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in September 2026?SELL0.76$21.28
09-15 19:31Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?SELL0.25$10.00
09-15 19:31Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5BUY0.51$10.20
09-15 19:31Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5BUY0.91$23.66
09-15 19:31Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September 2026?BUY0.81$22.67
09-15 19:30San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5BUY0.53$14.84
09-15 19:30Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?BUY0.61$51.24
09-15 19:30Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?BUY0.62$60.76
09-15 19:29Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5BUY0.45$18.90
09-15 19:29Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)BUY0.36$17.28
09-15 19:29Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.59$76.70
09-15 19:29Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.79$58.70