0x2a5deedb011dcb2bb9ef049643d1cca8265f3328
- Realised P&L
- $-35.80
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $26.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.967 | $12.87 | +$8.21 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.757 | 1.000 | $2.55 | +$0.62 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.160 | $2.50 | −$1.64 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.512 | $2.34 | +$0.95 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.440 | 0.976 | $2.22 | +$1.22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No | 0.994 | 1.000 | $2.00 | +$0.01 |
| Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.335 | $1.59 | +$0.54 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.019 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs B8 (+6.5) · Vitality | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.38at 0.584Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
- +$9.51at 0.693Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.33at 0.120MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.751US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$2.02at 0.487Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 15:48 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs B8 (+6.5) | BUY | 0.4799999076 | $1.87 |
| 07-24 16:19 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | SELL | 0.84 | $1.89 |
| 07-24 16:17 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) | SELL | 0.54 | $1.65 |
| 07-24 15:35 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.91 |
| 07-24 15:30 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.9799996159 | $1.99 |
| 07-24 15:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.99 |
| 07-24 15:29 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) | BUY | 0.6199999021 | $1.90 |
| 07-24 15:29 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.8699997159 | $1.96 |
| 07-24 15:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.756999705 | $1.93 |
| 07-08 20:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6749999676 | $19.30 |
| 06-11 21:29 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.784 | $0.94 |
| 06-11 21:29 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.7849999638 | $1.95 |
| 06-11 18:47 | Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.64 | $1.41 |
| 06-11 18:43 | Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6499999154 | $1.92 |
| 06-10 22:43 | Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.54 | $0.46 |