PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2a35878815AbB0165462C6248981a4956F0ba3f8-1767574783885

0x2a35878815abb0165462c6248981a4956f0ba3f8

Realised P&L
$-199.04
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
386
Open portfolio
$157.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded386
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.6030.805$101.01+$25.31
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6100.525$10.50$1.70
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.5600.835$8.35+$2.75
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.835$8.35+$3.45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7710.925$7.95+$1.32
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.3900.330$6.60$1.20
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3930.460$5.85+$0.85
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2800.175$3.50$2.10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5100.610$3.05+$0.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5700.205$1.80$3.20
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.021$0.21$0.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$0.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.0020.000$0.00$0.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$2.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 14:38Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
07-24 14:38Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.7699999877$5.00
05-05 13:36Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4049999291$2.00
05-05 13:32Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3929999619$5.00
05-04 21:35Will Trump visit China by June 30?BUY0.0649869431$1.00
05-04 21:35Will Trump visit China by June 30?BUY0.0596059494$1.00
05-04 21:35Will Trump visit China by June 30?BUY0.059126116$1.00
05-04 21:35Will Trump visit China by June 30?BUY0.0579874855$1.00
05-04 21:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3876739445$10.00
05-04 21:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
05-04 21:32Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?SELL0.95$48.51
05-04 18:56Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.2$10.00
05-04 18:56Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.2$20.00
05-04 18:56Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.94$28.20
05-04 18:48Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.81$6.68