0x2a35878815AbB0165462C6248981a4956F0ba3f8-1767574783885
0x2a35878815abb0165462c6248981a4956f0ba3f8
- Realised P&L
- $-199.04
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 386
- Open portfolio
- $157.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded386
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.25at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
- +$36.18at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$31.62at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$27.84at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
- +$27.26at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 14:38 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 14:38 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 13:36 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4049999291 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 13:32 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3929999619 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 21:35 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.0649869431 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 21:35 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.0596059494 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 21:35 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.059126116 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 21:35 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.0579874855 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 21:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3876739445 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 21:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 21:32 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $48.51 |
| 05-04 18:56 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 18:56 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 05-04 18:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 05-04 18:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $6.68 |