Apohcc5
0x2a346a21e8f70e0a5cb20e891830d2dcdfed4273
- Realised P&L
- $-316.56
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $37.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.33at 0.060 US military action on Yemen before June?
- +$23.39at 0.255Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
- +$20.20at 0.880Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?
- +$16.35at 0.640Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
- +$13.17at 0.270Will PAP win between 87 and 89 seats in the Singapore election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-04 13:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0379999912 | $4.00 |
| 01-04 13:17 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 01-04 13:17 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 01-04 13:17 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 01-04 13:16 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025? | SELL | 0.3008153282 | $7.38 |
| 01-04 13:16 | Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $4.07 |
| 01-04 13:16 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.30 |
| 01-04 13:16 | Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.74 |
| 01-03 20:02 | Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? | BUY | 0.9099999908 | $1.98 |
| 01-03 20:01 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17? | BUY | 0.4142251539 | $3.40 |
| 01-03 17:16 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 01-03 17:15 | Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11? | BUY | 0.2827965343 | $20.00 |
| 01-03 17:14 | Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 01-03 17:14 | US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 01-03 17:14 | Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0368362926 | $5.00 |