PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Apohcc5

0x2a346a21e8f70e0a5cb20e891830d2dcdfed4273

Realised P&L
$-316.56
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$37.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30? · No0.9101.000$16.48+$1.48
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9570.991$15.53+$0.53
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0700.041$2.34$1.66
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2000.078$1.95$3.05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.040$1.52$3.48
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$6.00
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$39.00
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$4.00
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$1.00
Diddy guilty of all charges? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$4.00
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$3.00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00$10.00
Trump approval >40% on June 1? · No0.0700.000$0.00$5.00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$5.00
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-04 13:20Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0379999912$4.00
01-04 13:17Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
01-04 13:17China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.2$5.00
01-04 13:17Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.08$2.00
01-04 13:16Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?SELL0.3008153282$7.38
01-04 13:16Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?SELL0.03$4.07
01-04 13:16Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?SELL0.28$2.30
01-04 13:16Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?SELL0.8$1.74
01-03 20:02Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?BUY0.9099999908$1.98
01-03 20:01Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?BUY0.4142251539$3.40
01-03 17:16Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2$50.00
01-03 17:15Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?BUY0.2827965343$20.00
01-03 17:14Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?BUY0.95$5.00
01-03 17:14US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
01-03 17:14Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0368362926$5.00