maxlang
0x2a21d3bccb4d025608ab0b54f7848d6dd83fd26a
- Realised P&L
- $-684.89
- Volume
- $596.7k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $214.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.95at 0.200Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?
- +$42.92at 0.064Modi out by December 31, 2026?
- +$42.32at 0.060Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?
- +$40.30at 0.280Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?
- +$30.44at 0.160US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 08:44 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 08:43 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31? | SELL | 0.0383584086 | $2.29 |
| 09-15 08:41 | Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 08:40 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? | SELL | 0.066184 | $1.65 |
| 09-15 08:39 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 08:38 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.52 |
| 09-15 08:35 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 08:33 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 08:33 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 08:30 | Alix Earle on Call Her Daddy by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.33 |
| 09-15 08:29 | Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.0764700304 | $6.53 |
| 09-15 08:28 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 08:28 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 08:27 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 22:45 | Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |