Pjchougule - 1326
0x2998fb1a927cff418ff3f0834cb48bae85aeb425
- Realised P&L
- $-546.90
- Volume
- $161.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,055
- Open portfolio
- $197.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,055
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.27at 0.160Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%?
- +$147.17at 0.694Will JD Vance say "Tampon" during the debate?
- +$94.63at 0.380Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
- +$90.79at 0.450Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?
- +$73.32at 0.617Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 00:49 | Obama arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $91.88 |
| 10-13 04:05 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.92 |
| 10-13 04:00 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.221 | $28.73 |
| 10-11 15:49 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 10-11 15:37 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.024 | $1.86 |
| 10-11 15:29 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.987 | $8.90 |
| 10-11 14:02 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.016 | $10.56 |
| 10-11 13:54 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.969 | $18.44 |
| 10-11 05:08 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.983 | $1.01 |
| 10-11 05:05 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:52 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.029 | $16.70 |
| 10-11 04:28 | Will the Alaska Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? | SELL | 0.128 | $8.06 |
| 10-11 04:19 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $8.37 |
| 10-11 03:57 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $16.02 |
| 10-10 23:34 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | SELL | 0.979 | $39.16 |