PolyBot

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Traders

Pjchougule - 1326

0x2998fb1a927cff418ff3f0834cb48bae85aeb425

Realised P&L
$-546.90
Volume
$161.4k
Markets traded
1,055
Open portfolio
$197.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,055
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? · No0.9300.973$48.63+$2.13
Will Russia make Eric Adams a citizen? · No0.9400.930$24.97−$0.27
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9020.987$15.64+$1.34
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8590.982$12.27+$1.53
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · No0.9630.980$10.77+$0.18
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9200.953$8.57+$0.29
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9590.974$8.36+$0.13
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.017$8.33+$0.12
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9410.969$8.32+$0.24
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8900.914$6.77+$0.18
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7900.820$5.74+$0.21
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5710.438$4.38−$1.33
Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0580.021$3.44−$5.80
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9410.967$2.84+$0.08
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.007$2.82−$2.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 00:49Obama arrested before 2027?SELL0.981$91.88
10-13 04:05Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.013$1.92
10-13 04:00Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.221$28.73
10-11 15:49Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.30
10-11 15:37Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.024$1.86
10-11 15:29Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.987$8.90
10-11 14:02Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.016$10.56
10-11 13:54Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.969$18.44
10-11 05:08Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.983$1.01
10-11 05:05Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.999$1.00
10-11 04:52Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.029$16.70
10-11 04:28Will the Alaska Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?SELL0.128$8.06
10-11 04:19Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?SELL0.93$8.37
10-11 03:57Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.89$16.02
10-10 23:34Will Venezuela become 51st state?SELL0.979$39.16