PolyBot

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Traders

JMV0

0x2965566554770169d5f1e887f7cc9d5b528ec74a

Realised P&L
$-30.4k
Volume
$617.7k
Markets traded
172
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded172
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0210.049$894.77+$507.35
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8800.950$760.00+$56.00
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0220.009$117.90$171.34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3920.065$29.61$149.01
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · No0.5300.635$4.53+$0.75
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0910.069$2.30$0.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.5210.000$0.00$208.33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? · Up0.0200.000$0.00$96.00
Will Paramount+ be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$4.33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$2.1k
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8800.000$0.00$440.00
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by? · Yes0.2260.000$0.00$497.20
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$506.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.4320.000$0.00$135.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$233.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 07:14Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.023$88.41
07-09 07:14Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2SELL0.45$104.38
07-09 07:12Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.023$76.23
07-09 06:51Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.88$704.00
07-09 06:46Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.023$103.50
07-09 06:41Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.021$387.43
07-07 18:11Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9181675073$526.10
07-07 18:11Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.87$574.94
07-07 18:10Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.3$1.3k
07-07 18:00Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.21$35.44
07-07 17:57Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.21$143.68
07-07 17:56Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.24$40.73
07-07 17:45Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.24$144.73
07-07 17:44Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?SELL0.9741201587$343.82
07-07 17:40Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.23$560.65