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0x29428452d2261347fe89c16c72B2A61Be99A7D8e-1775796752184

0x29428452d2261347fe89c16c72b2a61be99a7d8e

Realised P&L
$-218.29
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
314
Open portfolio
$122.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded314
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2600.195$17.21$5.74
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6600.895$13.89+$3.65
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7600.755$7.55$0.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No0.8700.961$7.21+$0.68
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No0.7500.825$6.60+$0.60
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August? · No0.6000.185$5.84$13.11
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8400.865$4.99+$0.14
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9710.984$4.92+$0.06
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE? · No0.9810.943$4.71$0.19
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9330.936$4.68+$0.02
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8200.925$4.63+$0.53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.5300.915$4.58+$1.93
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7600.905$4.53+$0.72
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.895$4.47+$0.27
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? · No0.7700.875$4.38+$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 15:29LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.08$1.48
08-03 08:42Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?BUY0.4$2.00
08-03 08:27Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?BUY0.38$1.90
08-03 04:03Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.2$1.00
08-03 01:18Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.27$2.07
08-02 19:31Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.76$3.80
08-02 08:03LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.32$3.52
08-02 08:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.3341724942$2.87
08-02 06:38LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaBUY0.2$8.09
07-30 14:53Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?BUY0.83$14.32
07-30 08:05SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 30?BUY0.42$5.07
07-30 00:33Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.52$13.70
07-28 09:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$7.18
07-27 20:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.264$2.16
07-26 20:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$9.03
Trader 0x29428452d2261347fe89c16c72B2A61Be99A7D8e-1775796752184 · PolyBot