0x29428452d2261347fe89c16c72B2A61Be99A7D8e-1775796752184
0x29428452d2261347fe89c16c72b2a61be99a7d8e
- Realised P&L
- $-218.29
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 314
- Open portfolio
- $122.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded314
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.20at 0.440Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
- +$49.30at 0.420Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$25.85at 0.400LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$25.83at 0.389Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
- +$13.91at 0.540Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:29 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.08 | $1.48 |
| 08-03 08:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-03 04:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:18 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.07 |
| 08-02 19:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 08-02 08:03 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.32 | $3.52 |
| 08-02 08:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3341724942 | $2.87 |
| 08-02 06:38 | LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.2 | $8.09 |
| 07-30 14:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? | BUY | 0.83 | $14.32 |
| 07-30 08:05 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.07 |
| 07-30 00:33 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.52 | $13.70 |
| 07-28 09:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.18 |
| 07-27 20:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.264 | $2.16 |
| 07-26 20:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.03 |