PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x29428452d2261347fe89c16c72B2A61Be99A7D8e-1775796752184

0x29428452d2261347fe89c16c72b2a61be99a7d8e

Realised P&L
$-153.02
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
365
Open portfolio
$79.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded365
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7600.905$9.05+$1.45
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.155$5.58−$5.22
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes0.6400.495$5.33−$1.56
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.115$5.17−$0.23
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE? · No0.9810.996$4.98+$0.07
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8200.982$4.91+$0.81
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9710.980$4.90+$0.04
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9330.960$4.80+$0.13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7600.945$4.72+$0.93
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? · No0.7700.945$4.72+$0.88
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.5300.925$4.63+$1.98
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8800.810$4.05−$0.35
Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.8000.705$3.52−$0.47
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.6000.605$3.02+$0.03
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.525$2.63−$1.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 17:04Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?BUY0.9$15.64
09-25 17:04Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 31m?BUY0.94$15.64
09-24 19:13Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?BUY0.64$6.89
09-24 15:54Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.38$12.28
09-24 15:49Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.39$11.21
09-24 14:54Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.43$15.65
09-24 12:28Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CBUY0.67$15.42
09-24 10:58Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro MochizukiBUY0.7$4.79
09-24 08:35US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.44$2.44
09-24 05:11Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$10.81
09-24 04:07San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.84$6.58
09-24 03:12Korea Open: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly BirrellBUY0.7$4.62
09-24 01:16Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.58$3.62
09-23 23:11St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.7$7.66
09-23 21:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.001$0.29