PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ManualMan

0x2935fe10de81eae2ea73d77f342fbbbae1dbd115

Realised P&L
$-32.74
Volume
$44.4k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$0.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 22:00US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.10
08-31 21:59US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?SELL0.002$0.20
08-03 03:16Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.01
08-03 03:13Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?SELL0.003$0.03
08-03 03:10Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.019$0.19
08-03 03:10US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?SELL0.012$0.15
08-03 03:08Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?SELL0.014$1.12
08-03 03:08Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$1.11
08-03 03:05Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.002$0.75
08-03 03:05Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.003$0.15
08-03 03:05Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?SELL0.003$0.42
08-03 03:03Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.011$2.31
08-03 03:03Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.001$0.25
08-03 03:02Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.019$0.95
08-03 03:01US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?SELL0.013$1.27