50k
0x2916c1231eaa8ba0002950b9937c7e01802bb301
- Realised P&L
- $40.87
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $189.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.35at 0.156Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.55at 0.550Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?
- +$6.00at 0.700Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?
- +$5.39at 0.206Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$5.31at 0.140Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:24 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 12:58 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.954999926 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 12:57 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:54 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:53 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 12:52 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 12:52 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.7099999709 | $10.50 |
| 10-05 12:51 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7099999709 | $10.50 |
| 09-29 11:23 | Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.995 | $3.38 |
| 09-29 11:22 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 11:21 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.9539998447 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 11:21 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | BUY | 0.8769999496 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 12:19 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.50 |
| 09-26 12:18 | Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:17 | Will Iceland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |