PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x28eed91404a9f403e4115649bc2d2f16ddfd7d99

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$4.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · Yes0.6201.000$1.61+$0.61
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.019$0.97−$5.53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2140.075$0.70−$1.30
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1000.022$0.45−$1.55
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1300.035$0.27−$0.73
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? · Yes0.1500.019$0.13−$0.87
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.001$0.06−$0.94
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3050.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$1.00
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$1.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00−$1.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 18:35Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.059999946$1.00
01-07 22:37Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
01-07 21:14Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
01-07 01:55Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
01-07 01:51Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
01-07 01:44Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$1.00
01-07 01:39Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?BUY0.179999928$2.00
01-07 01:38Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.1$2.00
01-05 08:40Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
01-05 08:40Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?BUY0.0449999575$1.00
01-05 08:40Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?BUY0.2969998236$1.00
01-05 08:25Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
01-05 08:21US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.2143935313$2.00
01-05 08:17Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.08$5.00
01-05 08:09Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.13$6.50