PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x28eED91404A9F403e4115649bc2D2F16DDFd7D99-1767582118763

0x28eed91404a9f403e4115649bc2d2f16ddfd7d99

Realised P&L
$-20.80
Volume
$368.37
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$6.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.046$2.33$4.17
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · Yes0.6201.000$1.61+$0.61
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2140.140$1.31$0.69
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1000.032$0.63$1.37
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1300.055$0.42$0.58
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? · Yes0.1500.045$0.30$0.70
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.001$0.06$0.94
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3050.000$0.00$2.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$2.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$1.00
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$1.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00$1.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 18:35Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.059999946$1.00
01-07 22:37Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
01-07 21:14Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
01-07 01:55Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
01-07 01:51Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
01-07 01:44Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$1.00
01-07 01:39Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?BUY0.179999928$2.00
01-07 01:38Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.1$2.00
01-05 08:40Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
01-05 08:40Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?BUY0.0449999575$1.00
01-05 08:40Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?BUY0.2969998236$1.00
01-05 08:25Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
01-05 08:21US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.2143935313$2.00
01-05 08:17Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.08$5.00
01-05 08:09Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.13$6.50