PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PredragDanicic

0x28b3cacb362807b34136c0c476404c35a3e2e4ec

Realised P&L
$73.87
Volume
$7.9k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$175.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4660.540$76.49+$10.42
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · No0.9480.968$51.05+$1.05
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? · Yes0.6400.670$20.10+$0.90
Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election? · No0.9400.963$18.44+$0.44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.195$9.44$5.56
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31? · No0.3570.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 08:14Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5499999897$8.00
08-01 17:01Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?BUY0.9699999972$7.00
08-01 09:27Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5499999972$30.00
07-31 08:40Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?BUY0.9899998432$6.00
07-31 08:39Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?BUY0.3569998276$1.00
07-30 10:39Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 30?BUY0.96$7.00
07-29 14:55Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?BUY0.95$7.00
07-29 14:51Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 30?SELL0.88$6.77
07-29 02:55Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 30?BUY0.91$7.00
07-28 06:04Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?BUY0.9399999937$6.00
07-27 17:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?BUY0.9399999405$6.00
07-27 06:20Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?BUY0.95$6.00
07-26 08:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?BUY0.96$5.00
07-25 13:41Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 25?BUY0.96$5.00
07-24 22:25Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?BUY0.9399999962$5.00