PredragDanicic
0x28b3cacb362807b34136c0c476404c35a3e2e4ec
- Realised P&L
- $73.87
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $175.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.466 | 0.540 | $76.49 | +$10.42 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.948 | 0.968 | $51.05 | +$1.05 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.670 | $20.10 | +$0.90 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election? · No | 0.940 | 0.963 | $18.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.195 | $9.44 | −$5.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31? · No | 0.357 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.62at 0.039Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
- +$23.10at 0.640US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$22.10at 0.380Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$15.24at 0.460Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.86at 0.280Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:14 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999897 | $8.00 |
| 08-01 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9699999972 | $7.00 |
| 08-01 09:27 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.9899998432 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.3569998276 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 10:39 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.00 |
| 07-29 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.00 |
| 07-29 14:51 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $6.77 |
| 07-29 02:55 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.00 |
| 07-28 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.9399999405 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.00 |
| 07-26 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 13:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 22:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |