PredragDanicic
0x28b3cacb362807b34136c0c476404c35a3e2e4ec
- Realised P&L
- $64.78
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $180.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.405 | $70.47 | +$9.57 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.435 | 0.422 | $63.06 | −$1.94 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.600 | 0.655 | $16.38 | +$1.38 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.275 | $13.75 | +$13.27 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.645 | $11.94 | +$1.94 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.205 | $3.94 | −$1.06 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.007 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.44at 0.041Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
- +$23.10at 0.640US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$19.52at 0.397Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$13.11at 0.478Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$9.10at 0.466Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:35 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3499999979 | $49.96 |
| 09-23 10:35 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $51.44 |
| 09-23 10:33 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3499999984 | $10.94 |
| 09-23 08:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 11:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 11:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.993 | $25.86 |
| 09-17 14:26 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 11:25 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4371920629 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 11:25 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 11:24 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | SELL | 0.041 | $3.57 |
| 09-15 16:58 | Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.0308774 | $1.54 |
| 09-15 11:23 | Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 09-15 07:24 | Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 09-10 18:43 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4339999962 | $35.00 |