0x27bCE8Bf88188FE2263877B8861Eb12faF18eB65-1733158544582
0x27bce8bf88188fe2263877b8861eb12faf18eb65
- Realised P&L
- $-234.60
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $616.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.84at 0.290Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$62.53at 0.305Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
- +$29.30at 0.500Will Lindsay James be the Democratic Nominee for IA-02?
- +$27.21at 0.093Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
- +$26.79at 0.600Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 21:25 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.599 | $94.41 |
| 07-16 07:08 | Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.88 | $85.02 |
| 07-10 14:07 | Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | BUY | 0.95 | $76.00 |
| 06-24 18:27 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 06-24 18:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 06-24 06:47 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.7017633139 | $21.30 |
| 06-24 06:47 | Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.0909733236 | $3.00 |
| 06-24 06:46 | Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.0683749552 | $2.10 |
| 06-24 06:46 | Will Partido Missão (MISSÃO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.091 | $2.73 |
| 06-09 22:43 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 05-29 15:44 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.08 |
| 05-29 15:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.66 |
| 05-29 15:23 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.73 | $39.26 |
| 05-28 20:28 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.6470137697 | $13.00 |
| 05-28 20:28 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.3030212973 | $6.60 |