PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cha55u05

0x2753b92b3528856ed04702547a42e62658576bc7

Realised P&L
$-76.26
Volume
$80.1k
Markets traded
278
Open portfolio
$229.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded278
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1370.029$67.97−$252.68
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6210.690$32.89+$3.30
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.6100.986$29.58+$11.28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.015$27.55−$6.94
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2890.097$15.93−$31.54
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6270.825$12.64+$3.04
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.7400.984$9.84+$2.44
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.6800.936$9.37+$2.56
Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.021$6.45−$5.95
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.4800.775$4.05+$1.54
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6630.050$3.55−$44.05
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7700.125$3.31−$17.09
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5650.026$2.77−$56.23
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5920.063$1.67−$14.13
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4630.013$1.32−$45.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 00:46Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.021$3.22
10-16 00:46Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.032$8.18
10-16 00:46Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.043$17.99
10-16 00:46Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$13.21
10-16 00:46Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$21.54
10-16 00:45Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4$64.16
10-16 00:45Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$65.86
10-16 00:45Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$39.00
10-16 00:45Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$112.45
10-16 00:45Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0775806846$178.86
10-16 00:44Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1292173913$29.72
10-16 00:44Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$20.33
09-08 09:22Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.7684681648$49.24
09-08 09:22Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.7432036364$81.75
08-24 14:05Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.103$10.30