lionsix
0x272b6c457993deef94aab630b9c1c2413f13e303
- Realised P&L
- $110.55
- Volume
- $59.6k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.957 | 0.973 | $451.24 | +$6.98 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.996 | $438.02 | +$218.02 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · No | 0.986 | 0.985 | $98.50 | −$0.10 |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes | 0.935 | 0.949 | $94.90 | +$1.40 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 · No | 0.960 | 0.927 | $92.70 | −$3.30 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No | 0.940 | 0.950 | $64.60 | +$0.68 |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31? · No | 0.978 | 0.966 | $39.00 | −$0.50 |
| Trump meets with Putin by October 31? · No | 0.989 | 0.977 | $11.48 | −$0.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.004 | $1.98 | −$218.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.09at 0.144Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- +$137.54at 0.512Solana above $130 on March 28?
- +$110.00at 0.450Phillies vs. Braves
- +$17.06at 0.451Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$15.28at 0.971Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:07 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.94 | $63.92 |
| 10-08 09:06 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $98.60 |
| 10-08 09:05 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 10-08 09:00 | Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? | BUY | 0.935 | $93.50 |
| 10-08 09:00 | Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31? | BUY | 0.9777964843 | $39.49 |
| 10-08 09:00 | Trump meets with Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $11.63 |
| 09-03 09:25 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.954 | $61.06 |
| 08-27 10:19 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $383.20 |
| 08-06 12:09 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $24.50 |
| 08-06 11:54 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $140? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-06 11:53 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 08-04 02:48 | Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.9889219847 | $126.76 |
| 08-04 02:48 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.40 |
| 07-22 12:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $402.19 |
| 07-22 12:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |