PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lionsix

0x272b6c457993deef94aab630b9c1c2413f13e303

Realised P&L
$110.55
Volume
$59.6k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9570.973$451.24+$6.98
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.996$438.02+$218.02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · No0.9860.985$98.50−$0.10
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes0.9350.949$94.90+$1.40
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 · No0.9600.927$92.70−$3.30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.9400.950$64.60+$0.68
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31? · No0.9780.966$39.00−$0.50
Trump meets with Putin by October 31? · No0.9890.977$11.48−$0.15
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.004$1.98−$218.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 09:07Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.94$63.92
10-08 09:06Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.986$98.60
10-08 09:05Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026BUY0.96$96.00
10-08 09:00Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?BUY0.935$93.50
10-08 09:00Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31?BUY0.9777964843$39.49
10-08 09:00Trump meets with Putin by October 31?BUY0.989$11.63
09-03 09:25Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.954$61.06
08-27 10:19Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.958$383.20
08-06 12:09Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?BUY0.98$24.50
08-06 11:54Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $140?BUY0.99$19.80
08-06 11:53Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?BUY0.89$26.70
08-04 02:48Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.9889219847$126.76
08-04 02:48Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.98$29.40
07-22 12:46Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 22?BUY0.998$402.19
07-22 12:45Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 23?BUY0.98$49.00