0x270d627C490EA2a58a66215AB0ee8db9C1D45fF
0x270d627c490ea2a58a66215ab0ee8db9c1d45ff2
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $763.6k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $70.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.080Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$1.3kat 0.195Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$559.77at 0.017Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$524.09at 0.414Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$492.88at 0.518US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 12:50 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.40 |
| 05-26 15:12 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.72 |
| 05-26 15:10 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.2869999973 | $50.00 |
| 05-23 22:48 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999951 | $100.00 |
| 05-22 22:21 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 22:17 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.4643791535 | $100.00 |
| 05-22 22:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.0109409062 | $22.38 |
| 05-22 22:16 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.77 |
| 05-22 22:15 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $62.60 |
| 05-22 14:36 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3195066817 | $100.00 |
| 05-22 14:34 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.07 |
| 05-22 14:34 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8933445826 | $200.00 |
| 05-22 14:33 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.0043862847 | $1.75 |
| 05-22 14:33 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.0130752269 | $5.23 |
| 05-21 17:41 | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | SELL | 0.0143907146 | $59.00 |