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Traders

0x270d627C490EA2a58a66215AB0ee8db9C1D45fF

0x270d627c490ea2a58a66215ab0ee8db9c1d45ff2

Realised P&L
$-4.8k
Volume
$763.6k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$70.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1090.046$17.09$22.91
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1320.027$12.26$47.74
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1700.041$12.06$37.94
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes0.1260.097$7.66$2.34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2900.055$5.69$24.31
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0970.018$5.58$24.42
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.4400.355$4.03$0.97
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.0800.027$3.36$6.64
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1900.018$1.95$18.05
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes0.1600.010$0.62$9.38
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.4640.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week? · Yes0.3620.000$0.00$14.86
Kurds declare independence from Iran? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$30.00
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 12:50Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 29, 2026?SELL0.12$5.40
05-26 15:12Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 29, 2026?BUY0.32$6.72
05-26 15:10Iran closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.2869999973$50.00
05-23 22:48Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.6999999951$100.00
05-22 22:21Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
05-22 22:17Israel closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.4643791535$100.00
05-22 22:16US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?SELL0.0109409062$22.38
05-22 22:16Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?SELL0.005$1.77
05-22 22:15Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?SELL0.2$62.60
05-22 14:36Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.3195066817$100.00
05-22 14:34Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?SELL0.004$0.07
05-22 14:34Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?BUY0.8933445826$200.00
05-22 14:33Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?SELL0.0043862847$1.75
05-22 14:33Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?SELL0.0130752269$5.23
05-21 17:41Iran closes its airspace by May 21?SELL0.0143907146$59.00
Trader 0x270d627C490EA2a58a66215AB0ee8db9C1D45fF · PolyBot Pro