rauljimenez
0x26c5ab1385c864c354469c27a51d195246f2b46e
- Realised P&L
- $-92.01
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $844.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.846 | 0.825 | $742.50 | −$18.50 |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.260 | $101.64 | +$19.55 |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$0.22 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.402 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.60 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.686 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$343.29 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.00 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.52at 0.681Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?
- +$154.09at 0.689Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
- +$64.00at 0.840Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
- +$52.00at 0.740Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
- +$45.00at 0.910US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 14:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $462.19 |
| 09-08 23:43 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $336.60 |
| 09-08 05:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $146.51 |
| 09-07 21:54 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6865882 | $343.29 |
| 09-02 18:47 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.30 |
| 09-02 18:44 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 09-01 20:52 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.1125198116 | $56.85 |
| 09-01 20:13 | Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $37.27 |