negativePNL
0x267568e60bccc61e876fbb3607fba7c47ee12374
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $152.8k
- Markets traded
- 602
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded602
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.612Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$828.10at 0.258Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$698.20at 0.289Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$589.40at 0.537Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?
- +$557.08at 0.299Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 22:13 | Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4302576431 | $107.38 |
| 10-01 22:13 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.502 | $150.60 |
| 09-23 15:16 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0680679667 | $20.42 |
| 09-23 13:29 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.16 | $40.00 |
| 09-23 13:21 | Will Playboi Carti be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.14 | $9.38 |
| 09-23 13:19 | Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.34 | $81.26 |
| 09-23 13:19 | Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.36 | $54.00 |
| 09-23 11:54 | Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k? | BUY | 0.57 | $168.15 |
| 09-23 11:47 | Will The Weeknd be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 09-16 00:05 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1873333333 | $28.10 |
| 09-16 00:04 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1646233994 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 11:40 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1054260334 | $29.08 |
| 09-14 11:39 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1052600688 | $30.00 |
| 09-09 12:54 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 09-09 12:52 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.29 | $87.00 |