PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

randomuser223

0x264ee3f2734715db8e663975f8421fc543b6a20e

Realised P&L
$-32.84
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$244.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.6500.755$69.46+$9.66
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7000.645$36.77−$3.13
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? · Yes0.5700.625$21.93+$1.93
Will Augusto Cury finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3000.365$14.60+$2.60
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.1300.085$11.90−$6.30
Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · No0.4100.445$10.84+$0.84
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? · Yes0.4000.420$10.50+$0.50
Will Alexandre Guimarães win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election? · Yes0.3440.300$10.37−$1.51
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.295$10.32+$0.17
Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Czechia0.5400.395$7.90−$2.90
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0380.028$7.24−$2.76
Will Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election? · Yes0.3700.210$5.67−$4.32
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? · Yes0.6500.595$4.76−$0.44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.467$4.67−$0.34
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No0.4300.370$4.44−$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 16:02Will Alexandre Guimarães win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?BUY0.3437158969$11.88
09-30 16:01Will Paulo Mourão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?BUY0.0149625935$2.00
09-30 16:01LoL: TLN Pirates vs Valerion - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$15.98
09-30 13:54LoL: TLN Pirates vs Valerion - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.66$10.56
09-30 13:53Wild vs. PredatorsBUY0.57$10.83
09-30 13:52Panthers vs. SharksBUY0.58$40.02
09-30 04:58Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.29$10.15
09-30 04:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7$39.90
09-30 00:40Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.038$10.00
09-30 00:32Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.4$10.00
09-30 00:27Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.95$7.60
09-30 00:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.55$51.70
09-30 00:21Will Augusto Cury finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3$12.00
09-30 00:16LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.47$13.16
09-29 22:26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.13$18.20