sdhyky
0x264cbb7263b0c336c58fb5a5de1773896e6bbaca
- Realised P&L
- $34.0k
- Volume
- $16.03M
- Markets traded
- 1,445
- Open portfolio
- $63.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,445
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.2kat 0.998S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?
- +$10.0kat 0.499S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?
- +$3.9kat 0.480Will G2 Esports Win LEC Summer Split 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.751Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
- +$3.6kat 0.735SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.972 | $1.9k |
| 11-01 12:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.969 | $4.8k |
| 11-01 03:28 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | BUY | 0.83 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 03:28 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $786.78 |
| 11-01 03:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.970320465 | $9.7k |
| 10-31 23:45 | Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.00 |
| 10-31 23:45 | Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.0143776487 | $15.25 |
| 10-31 21:47 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.23 | $230.00 |
| 10-31 20:44 | Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | SELL | 0.016 | $53.74 |
| 10-31 18:48 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.008307338 | $83.07 |
| 10-31 18:02 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.938979662 | $4.7k |
| 10-31 13:57 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.0k |
| 10-31 03:55 | Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.007 | $70.00 |
| 10-31 03:55 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.011 | $64.89 |
| 10-31 03:53 | Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.33 |