0x262ecAB99EcC72Bc879b78b5eA013145C97Fd4A3-1774701269820
0x262ecab99ecc72bc879b78b5ea013145c97fd4a3
- Realised P&L
- $-32.49
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $313.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.40at 0.370Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$38.06at 0.591Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$6.64at 0.620Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$5.87at 0.630Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$4.61at 0.687Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:46 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.351 | $14.97 |
| 10-31 05:31 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999589 | $3.50 |
| 10-31 05:29 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 05:27 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999625 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 05:26 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 05:26 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 09:16 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.469999997 | $17.00 |
| 10-29 03:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 05:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 03:38 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $12.00 |
| 10-23 10:48 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 03:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 11:02 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 11:01 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 09:34 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |