PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

md5sum

0x2627d7798cb03edbb46e99a42724e42628796d72

Realised P&L
$0.22
Volume
$49.36
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$12.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No0.7200.765$3.83+$0.23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.6900.535$2.67−$0.78
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz · Lorenzo Musetti0.4900.505$2.52+$0.07
Heat vs. Lakers · Lakers0.4800.485$2.42+$0.03
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3500.195$0.97−$0.78
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$0.06
Panthers vs. Jets · Jets0.4600.000$0.00−$2.30
Oilers vs. Islanders · Islanders0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 19:06Heat vs. LakersBUY0.48$2.40
10-31 18:06Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert HurkaczBUY0.49$2.45
10-26 03:17Oilers vs. IslandersBUY0.49$2.45
10-26 03:17Panthers vs. JetsBUY0.46$2.30
10-03 16:05Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.35$1.75
10-03 15:38Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4209999591$2.10
10-03 14:512026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.72$3.60
10-03 14:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.69$3.45
10-03 14:51Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.65$3.25