md5sum
0x2627d7798cb03edbb46e99a42724e42628796d72
- Realised P&L
- $0.22
- Volume
- $49.36
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $12.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No | 0.720 | 0.765 | $3.83 | +$0.23 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.535 | $2.67 | −$0.78 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz · Lorenzo Musetti | 0.490 | 0.505 | $2.52 | +$0.07 |
| Heat vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.480 | 0.485 | $2.42 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.195 | $0.97 | −$0.78 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.06 |
| Panthers vs. Jets · Jets | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Oilers vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.45 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.84at 0.431Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.70at 0.659Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 19:06 | Heat vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-31 18:06 | Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-26 03:17 | Oilers vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-26 03:17 | Panthers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 10-03 16:05 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-03 15:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4209999591 | $2.10 |
| 10-03 14:51 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-03 14:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-03 14:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |