PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

orlando-

0x25ed6414df16896e6de515d8dc41cda3c8f5b701

Realised P&L
$377.26
Volume
$157.4k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$225.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5500.465$42.27$7.73
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.885$40.85+$10.85
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.9400.997$31.82+$1.82
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.155$31.00+$1.00
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9400.945$26.14+$0.14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.320$25.26+$10.26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8900.986$11.07+$1.07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0130.008$6.18$3.82
UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) · Vanessa Demopoulos0.1400.135$6.07$0.22
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No0.0590.011$3.75$16.25
UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Deiveson Figueiredo0.1600.165$0.82+$0.03
UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Iwo Baraniewski0.7000.000$0.00$5.00
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? · Yes0.4080.000$0.00$30.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No0.0160.000$0.00$1.60
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 02:00UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.16$0.80
09-18 07:44Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.058702671$20.00
09-17 04:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5499999995$50.00
09-14 07:11UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.1$5.00
09-14 07:11UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.1799999964$3.00
09-14 07:11Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-12 08:41Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.6099999927$20.00
09-12 04:06Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 12?BUY0.5310262156$30.00
09-11 13:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$20.00
09-11 09:23UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.699999972$5.00
09-11 09:22UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.7499999906$20.00
09-11 09:21Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.3099999954$10.00
09-10 09:16China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9399999887$10.00
09-10 09:16China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9399999887$10.00
09-10 09:16China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9399999887$5.00