0x25a87b0be0c122a36fb853a44af4ad545494a30a
- Realised P&L
- $-75.97
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $7.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.84at 0.021Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$47.85at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$31.18at 0.065Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$27.99at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$18.03at 0.060Solana Up or Down on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 21:19 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0429999803 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 21:17 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0357319922 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 21:15 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0169999918 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 21:14 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0429999803 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 21:12 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 21:09 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.017999991 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 21:08 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 21:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 21:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0719999686 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 15:25 | Dogecoin Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.038235276 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 15:24 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 15:24 | BNB Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0203866044 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 15:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0297674419 | $2.00 |