PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x25a87b0be0c122a36fb853a44af4ad545494a30a

Realised P&L
$-75.97
Volume
$17.0k
Markets traded
142
Open portfolio
$7.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded142
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0430.058$2.67+$0.67
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? · Yes0.0020.003$2.50+$0.50
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0360.024$1.32$0.68
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0170.005$0.65$1.35
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$0.49$4.50
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0430.004$0.19$1.81
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0180.001$0.06$1.94
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Up0.0520.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
Dogecoin Up or Down on July 31? · Up0.0380.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.0460.000$0.00$2.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 21:19Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0429999803$2.00
08-18 21:17Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.0357319922$2.00
08-18 21:15Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0169999918$2.00
08-18 21:14Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0429999803$2.00
08-18 21:12Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?BUY0.002$2.00
08-18 21:09US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.017999991$2.00
08-18 21:08US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.01$2.00
08-18 21:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
08-18 21:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.1$5.00
08-02 18:46Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0719999686$2.00
07-31 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.16$2.00
07-31 15:25Dogecoin Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.038235276$2.00
07-31 15:24Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.14999994$2.00
07-31 15:24BNB Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.0203866044$2.00
07-31 15:23Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.0297674419$2.00