PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Openfog

0x25791262ef9ae8faad6cbc6354bffb6b76218081

Realised P&L
$-3.32
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.793$1.6k+$587.59
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.511$1.0k+$23.02
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.488$977.98$23.02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No0.5000.735$735.74+$235.24
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.206$413.41$587.59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.5000.265$265.26$235.24
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9840.996$102.23+$1.23
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.6900.865$1.25+$0.25
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.6500.565$0.87$0.13
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15? · No0.0130.000$0.00$1.00
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? · No0.1800.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 11:54Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-22 11:53Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
05-31 17:22Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.992$1.1k
05-29 18:10Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$1.1k
04-06 09:42Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$2.00
03-23 14:21Will Solana dip to $10 in March?BUY0.999$1.5k
03-23 14:21Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.984$101.00
03-23 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.4099998237$0.97
03-23 14:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23?BUY0.9906582689$101.00
10-12 11:11Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
10-12 11:08Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.997$11.00
10-12 11:08Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.179999928$2.00
06-25 13:02Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.997$20.00
06-25 13:01Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?BUY0.1049999118$1.00
06-25 13:0150% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?BUY0.1699998861$1.00