Openfog
0x25791262ef9ae8faad6cbc6354bffb6b76218081
- Realised P&L
- $-3.32
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.793 | $1.6k | +$587.59 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.511 | $1.0k | +$23.02 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.488 | $977.98 | −$23.02 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No | 0.500 | 0.735 | $735.74 | +$235.24 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.206 | $413.41 | −$587.59 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.500 | 0.265 | $265.26 | −$235.24 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.996 | $102.23 | +$1.23 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.865 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.565 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Trump visit Israel by October 15? · No | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.24at 0.290Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedov
- +$4.00at 0.200Will Trump say "Venezuela" in his next speech?
- +$1.47at 0.999Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
- +$1.41at 0.340Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
- +$1.40at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:54 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:53 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 17:22 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.1k |
| 05-29 18:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.1k |
| 04-06 09:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 03-23 14:21 | Will Solana dip to $10 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 03-23 14:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $101.00 |
| 03-23 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $0.97 |
| 03-23 14:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23? | BUY | 0.9906582689 | $101.00 |
| 10-12 11:11 | Will Trump visit Israel by October 15? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 11:08 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.00 |
| 10-12 11:08 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 13:02 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 13:01 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.1049999118 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 13:01 | 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |