PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x257492f3FfA9Df584Bfb0ec93d8AA0a32135144b-1776395184666

0x257492f3ffa9df584bfb0ec93d8aa0a32135144b

Realised P&L
$767.20
Volume
$99.0k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6400.715$223.44+$23.44
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.8210.886$216.03+$16.03
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4130.403$194.92−$5.08
Will Democrats win white women in the midterms? · Yes0.6200.675$178.59+$14.55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? · No0.7700.715$143.00−$11.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5100.705$119.42+$33.03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? · Yes0.6480.180$54.00−$140.32
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0260.017$39.83−$20.17
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? · Yes0.6710.114$33.83−$166.17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2880.125$31.25−$40.75
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$10.05−$10.04
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$5.85−$5.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 05:27Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?SELL0.23$154.87
10-28 08:51Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$11.70
10-28 08:38Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3$20.89
10-26 02:03US imports Russian diesel by December 31?SELL0.8459251067$214.15
10-25 23:32Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.062$8.68
10-25 23:32Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?SELL0.01$4.76
10-23 06:11Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.4199999993$200.00
10-22 03:51US imports Russian diesel by December 31?BUY0.7899999999$200.00
10-20 09:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.999$149.85
10-20 05:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.859$128.85
10-16 03:21Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.795$79.50
10-15 07:32Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?BUY0.77$154.00
10-15 07:23Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?BUY0.6199999991$200.00
10-15 03:35Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.2970297027$200.00
10-15 03:34Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?SELL0.7075$212.25