ajia
0x256264ce7547c18dfc60635336fa88dd0a20b6c2
- Realised P&L
- $-152.77
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 703
- Open portfolio
- $778.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded703
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.08at 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$11.22at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$7.85at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$4.50at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
- +$4.24at 0.470Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:02 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 17:01 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 17:01 | Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8439999561 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 17:00 | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 17:00 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 16:59 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |