PolyBot

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Traders

ajia

0x256264ce7547c18dfc60635336fa88dd0a20b6c2

Realised P&L
$-152.77
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
703
Open portfolio
$778.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded703
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9350.977$292.95+$12.45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9300.975$228.18+$10.42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9000.950$158.33+$8.33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.977$54.25+$4.25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2010.203$10.07+$0.07
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.8500.855$10.06+$0.06
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · No0.9000.905$2.01+$0.01
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · No0.8400.835$1.99−$0.01
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.835$1.99−$0.01
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8200.815$1.99−$0.01
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · No0.8100.805$1.99−$0.01
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? · No0.8440.818$1.94−$0.06
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? · Yes0.8630.714$1.65−$0.35
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? · Yes0.8100.590$1.46−$0.54
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · No0.7900.570$1.44−$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 17:02Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8199999836$2.00
10-03 17:01Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? BUY0.84$2.00
10-03 17:01Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8439999561$2.00
10-03 17:00Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.84$2.00
10-03 17:00Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?BUY0.8099999352$2.00
10-03 16:59Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9$2.00
10-03 16:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.77$1.00
10-03 16:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.92$1.00
10-03 16:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-03 16:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.74$1.00
10-03 16:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-03 16:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-03 16:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.8$1.00
10-03 16:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.849999915$1.00
10-03 16:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.7599999088$1.00