Corny-Difficulty-Energy
0x24efbab75974aed5303f18852087df84359935a9
- Realised P&L
- $-9.48
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $97.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.931 | 0.981 | $36.72 | +$1.84 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.695 | $33.07 | +$9.28 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.989 | $9.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.751 | 0.958 | $6.37 | +$1.37 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.705 | $5.30 | +$0.11 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.980 | $3.12 | +$0.04 |
| Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by February 28, 2027? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.940 | $1.60 | −$0.05 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $1.59 | +$0.23 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.029 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.00at 0.236Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
- +$5.63at 0.640Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?
- +$5.00at 0.500US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.34at 0.271Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
- +$3.06at 0.620Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 06:31 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.967999995 | $3.08 |
| 10-29 06:29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.36 |
| 10-27 13:07 | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0619819005 | $0.14 |
| 10-27 13:05 | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9339999934 | $3.98 |
| 10-27 01:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9379999899 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 01:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.18 |
| 10-22 08:31 | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.972 | $1.65 |
| 10-22 08:31 | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999982 | $2.20 |
| 10-22 08:30 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.75699994 | $2.95 |
| 10-17 12:21 | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7509881126 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 04:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 15:04 | Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999476 | $1.19 |
| 09-20 15:04 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.6899999202 | $5.19 |
| 09-19 15:05 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:33 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |