arjennnnn
0x24ded84d901a743cfee095f8082b0f9f647183cb
- Realised P&L
- $23.4k
- Volume
- $11.57M
- Markets traded
- 1,116
- Open portfolio
- $31.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,116
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.6kat 0.470Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$21.4kat 0.665Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$17.1kat 0.897LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
- +$16.0kat 0.944US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$12.3kat 0.800Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:43 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.956 | $951.21 |
| 09-22 02:04 | Will Amazon Prime Video be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.13 |
| 09-22 02:03 | Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $45.74 |
| 09-22 00:51 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $13.53 |
| 09-22 00:13 | Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-22 00:13 | Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $55.44 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $199.39 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $199.39 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $199.39 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.992 | $113.85 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $199.39 |
| 09-22 00:05 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.9794857667 | $171.01 |
| 09-21 13:57 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9569844433 | $164.25 |
| 09-21 13:56 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.71 |
| 09-21 13:56 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |