PolyBot

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Traders

shadowwizardmoneygang

0x249b7466ecf40ff9a22526fa8a25eeadf7155df1

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$1.36M
Markets traded
341
Open portfolio
$120.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded341
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will edgeX reach $2.50 before 2027? · No0.4390.926$49.09+$25.85
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · Yes0.0800.029$48.88$83.68
Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027? · No0.7200.880$17.60+$3.20
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31? · Yes0.5120.025$2.14$40.86
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0220.014$1.80$1.03
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.1390.019$1.18$7.26
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.50
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$33.29
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.0k
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.34
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$141.82
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$1.0k
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.25 (LOW) by May 31, 2026? · No0.5500.000$0.00$13.75
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.3460.000$0.00$126.60
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 02:38Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by June 30?SELL0.008212766$1.93
06-17 18:37Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?BUY0.0599999947$10.40
06-17 18:35Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.0978587004$11.31
06-16 22:46Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?BUY0.0699999937$9.78
06-16 22:45Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?BUY0.5123832221$43.00
06-16 22:44Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027?SELL0.8$30.40
06-16 22:43New COVID variant of concern before 2027?SELL0.8270142744$20.86
06-16 22:38Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by June 30?BUY0.019$4.46
06-16 22:38New COVID variant of concern before 2027?SELL0.84$6.72
06-16 22:36Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?BUY0.0699999995$121.64
05-30 02:37Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?BUY0.08$132.56
05-30 02:20US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?SELL0.062$13.14
05-22 09:38Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.001$3.14
05-22 09:37Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.001$317.09
05-20 07:33Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.006$5.03