PolyBot

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Traders

0x2470e1dfc3bdea109697843b072014ddb55166e4

0x2470e1dfc3bdea109697843b072014ddb55166e4

Realised P&L
$171.19
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
228
Open portfolio
$305.53

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded228
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1890.255$42.22+$10.95
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys · Alexander Zverev0.8600.855$39.32−$0.23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6960.845$35.73+$6.30
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou · Hubert Hurkacz0.8701.000$22.72+$2.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · No0.7400.745$19.83+$0.13
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4410.840$18.56+$8.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? · No0.6800.630$18.21−$1.45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.7360.760$15.25+$0.48
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160? · Yes0.4030.440$14.87+$1.25
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.715$14.74+$0.11
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.2090.235$10.84+$1.20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.4500.435$9.67−$0.33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.635$9.58−$0.23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.5500.465$8.26−$1.51
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1850.065$7.31−$13.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 02:05Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin HalysBUY0.8599999987$39.55
10-11 02:04Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi ZhouBUY0.8699999956$19.78
10-11 02:03Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei SakamotoBUY0.6999999857$9.81
10-11 02:02Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian MannarinoBUY0.7599999876$9.84
10-11 02:00Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur GeaBUY0.7299999936$29.47
10-09 04:25Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio CobolliBUY0.5999999877$9.76
10-09 04:23Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey RublevBUY0.5699999766$9.74
10-09 03:17Suzhou: Katarina Zavatska vs Renata ZarazuaBUY0.8099999869$9.86
10-09 03:14Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira SantillanBUY0.6299999887$19.55
10-09 02:38Suzhou: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Kyoka OkamuraSELL0.18$2.45
10-09 02:37Suzhou: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Kyoka OkamuraBUY0.8299999997$29.62
10-09 02:10Suzhou: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Kyoka OkamuraBUY0.7199999941$9.82
10-09 00:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.6799999931$19.66
10-09 00:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.7399999895$19.70
10-09 00:29Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard StruffBUY0.8499999978$19.76